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本文应用二次回归旋转设计定量描述了温度、光周期对致倦库蚊成虫前期各发育阶段发育速率、存活率的综合影响.列出了九种温度、光周期组合条件下的致倦库蚊成虫前期发育历期和存活率的实验数据,建立了回归模型,经卡方检验所有模型的模拟值与实测值均高度吻合(P≥0.998).模型可用以预测致倦库蚊成虫前期自然种群发育和存活情况,也可用作一种研究工具,在计算机上进行不同温度、光周期组合条件下的模拟试验.通过对模型进行解析,求出了温度的单因素影响模型.致倦库蚊成虫前期存活的最适水温是25.64℃.比较和统计检验双因素模型中的各项系数,可知温度是主要影响因素(P<0.01),而光期周几乎没有影响(P>0.2).
In this paper, the quadratic regression rotation design was used to quantitatively describe the combined effect of temperature and photoperiod on the developmental rate and survival rate of all the developmental stages of adult Culex pipiens pallens, and the results showed that Culex pipiens quinquefasciatus The experimental data of the developmental period and survival rate of adults were established and the regression model was established. The simulated values of all models fitted by chi-square test were in good agreement with the measured values (P≥0.998). The model can be used to predict the early population natural population of Culex pipiens pallens Development and survival, but also can be used as a research tool to simulate the combination of different temperature and photoperiod on a computer.The single factor influencing model of temperature was obtained by analyzing the model.Culex quinquefasciatus The optimum water temperature for pre-survival of adult was 25.64 ℃ .Comparison and statistical tests of the coefficients of the two-factor model showed that temperature was the main factor (P <0.01), while the photoperiod had almost no effect (P> 0.2).