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对外开放与高资本积累共同推动了中国经济增长 ,其中政府的主导作用非常鲜明。文章首先指出 :1)尽管现在贸易摩擦频繁 ,但中国的贸易增长仍有空间 ;2 )虽然现实的储蓄缺口已经消失 ,但考虑到大量农村劳动力需要转移 ,资本形成缺口依然很大 ,仍有引进外资的必要。文章接着分析 :由于中国在对外开放与资本形成机制上存在着政府干预形成的严重扭曲 ,从而在增长过程中不断累积着“结构扭曲”的风险。面临金融开放 ,这种扭曲的结构会变得更加脆弱。因此 ,如何充分利用外部资源加快中国的非农化进程 ,同时消除制度性扭曲 ,优化资源配置方式 ,减少外部冲击风险 ,促进经济增长成为本文探讨的主线。
Opening to the outside world and high capital accumulation jointly promote China’s economic growth. The leading role of the government is very clear. The article first points out: 1) Despite the frequent trade frictions, there is still room for trade growth in China. 2) Although the real saving gap has disappeared, considering the large number of rural laborers that need to be relocated, there is still a large capital shortage and the introduction of Foreign investment is necessary. The article goes on to analyze: Due to the serious distortion of government intervention in China’s opening-up and capital formation mechanism, the risk of “structural distortion” continues to accumulate in the process of growth. Facing financial liberalization, this distorted structure will become more vulnerable. Therefore, how to make full use of external resources to speed up the process of non-agriculturalization in China while eliminating institutional distortions, optimizing the allocation of resources, reducing the risk of external shocks and promoting economic growth have become the main lines of this paper.