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目的描述回归分析在细菌性痢疾发病预测领域的研究现状和进展情况。方法设定纳入标准后在中国知网数据库中收集2005-2013年间发表的该主题相关文献。结果自2005年以来共有10项研究利用回归分析方法进行菌痢发病情况的预测分析,研究分布于8个省、自治区和直辖市,其中9项研究基于市级或市级以下数据进行分析。纳入研究的回归分析决定系数在0.63～0.99之间。结论回归分析方法已在菌痢发病预测领域得到初步有效应用。
Objective To describe the research status and progress of regression analysis in the field of predicting the incidence of bacterial dysentery. After the method is set into the standard, the relevant literature published in 2005-2013 is collected in the CNKI database. Results A total of 10 studies using regression analysis to predict the incidence of dysentery since 2005 were conducted in 8 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities. Nine studies were conducted based on the data at the municipal or municipal level. The regression coefficients included in the study determine the coefficients between 0.63 and 0.99. Conclusion The regression analysis method has been initially and effectively applied in the field of dysentery incidence forecast.