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2003年SARS以后,为重振香港经济,中国商务部与香港特区政府签署CEPA,“香港个人游计划”(俗称“香港自由行”)作为附件之一自2003年底起实施。本文运用统计和灰色关联度分析法分析了“香港个人游计划”实施的效果。研究发现,“香港个人游计划”使内地游客赴港旅游对香港经济影响作用增大,香港不同行业经济对内地访客的依赖有所变化。内地访客2004年之后比2004年之前与批发及零售业、住宿及膳食服务业产值关联度增大,且大于与其他国家访客的关联度,而其他国家的访客主要对金融及保险业和进出口贸易业的影响增大。
Since the 2003 SARS, in order to revive Hong Kong economy, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce and the HKSAR Government have signed CEPA and one of the annexes to the “Hong Kong Personal Travel Plan” (commonly known as “Hong Kong Free Travel Scheme”) came into operation at the end of 2003. This paper analyzes the effect of the “Hong Kong Individual Travel Plan” implemented by statistics and gray relational analysis. The study found that the “Hong Kong Individual Travel Scheme” has made mainland tourists’ travel to Hong Kong more impactful to Hong Kong’s economy and the dependence of Hong Kong’s economy in different sectors on mainland visitors has changed. Mainland visitors increased their association with the wholesale, retail, accommodation and food service industries after 2004, more than their counterparts in other countries, while those from other countries mainly focused on the financial and insurance sectors and import and export The impact of trade has increased.