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一、未来五、六年内,美国经济处于周期性下降阶段,但下降幅度不会很大。我们用以下七个论点来支持这一判断。1.美国企业技术创新的压力和动力在迅速减小。七十年代中期以来的美国经济复兴及后期的繁荣,首先得益于技术创新。这种技术创新浪潮的动力和压力虽有其系统内的竞
First, in the next five to six years, the U.S. economy will be in a period of cyclical downturn, but the decline will not be large. We use the following seven arguments to support this judgment. 1. The pressure and motivation for technological innovation in U.S. companies are rapidly decreasing. The U.S. economic recovery and post-boom prosperity since the mid-1970s first benefited from technological innovation. Although the motivation and pressure of this wave of technological innovation are within its own system