铁路客运分段能力配置策略能够针对季节客流特征,在春节等节假日客运需求非常巨大、平时客流明显减少的情况下,最大程度地满足旅客出行需求。基于线性回归方程的铁路客运需求预测模型,能够科学合理、有效地配置客运能力。运用MATLAB软件,结合南京站旅客运输数据,通过实证分析研究,验证优化模型在阶段性运能配置方面的期望效应。 The allocation strategy of railway passenger segmentation capability can meet the needs of passenger traffic during the Spring Festival and other holidays. The demand for passenger traffic is very huge. In the usual time, traffic flow is significantly reduced. Based on the linear regression equation of railway passenger demand forecasting model, it can scientifically and effectively configure passenger capacity. Using MATLAB software, combined with passenger transportation data of Nanjing Railway Station, the empirical analysis and research are conducted to verify the expected effect of the optimization model in terms of stage capacity allocation.