中国会按照东亚的发展型式向前发展吗?将来中国领导人会再次改变这一发展方向吗?中国会不会取得象亚洲“四小”所实现的那种经济成功呢? 国际著名的东亚经济专家帕金斯博士在他最近发表的《中国:亚洲未来经济巨人?》中,运用大量的历史资料和经济统计资料,在实证分析日本和亚洲“四小”经济发展的同时,回答和阐述了上述问题。该书始终贯穿一条主线,即将外部环境——政府内部——社会群体这三者贯联起来。它不仅强调历史、传统文化与社会构造因素对东亚发展的影响,而且强调从人力资源基础展开分析东亚社会发展的动因,并从整个国际经济体系出发,分析东亚内外部政治、经济、社 Will China move forward in accordance with the pattern of development in East Asia? Will future Chinese leaders change this direction once again in the future? Will China achieve the economic success achieved by the “four small” ones in Asia? The world-renowned East Asian economy Dr. Perkins, in his recently published “China: Asia’s Future Economic Giant ?,” a large number of historical data and economic statistics, in the empirical analysis of Japan and Asia, “four small” economic development at the same time, answered and elaborated The above problem. The book runs through the main line, that is, the external environment - the government - social groups all three linked up. It not only emphasizes the impact of history, traditional culture and social construction on the development of East Asia, but also stresses the motivation for analyzing the social development in East Asia from the human resources foundation and analyzes the internal and external political, economic and social affairs in East Asia from the perspective of the entire international economic system