对未来的十大预测

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  A magazine called “Futurologist”, which was published in the USA, prospects more than 70 predictions of human beings in its 11 and 12 double month’s issue. Here are the ten of them.
  Prediction One
  By 2030, chips will have been implanted into human beings. Each of people has a unique IP address. Because of the almost unlimited capacity of nanotechnology, the conversations and activities will be on the record, moreover, they are recoverable.
  Prediction Two
  As gaining skills becomes easier, the new born science, especially the micro science like geography-economic science and nanotechnology and so on, will pave ways for biology. Bacterium and viruses will be remolded in order to increase their lethality or the ability of dealing with antibiotic.
  Prediction Three
  The age when cars are considered as the king of the road will come to an end. The development of wireless communication will reduce the requirement when people go on long journey. Aviation transportation will take the place of lorry. The policy of restricting private cars and other factors may deprive its place as the true master of the environment and culture.
  Prediction Four
  Profession and collegial specialty will be more specialized. The increase of collegial unpopular specialty may indicate the development of new born specialty such as neuroscience and nanotechnology, computers and digital debate science and so on. Students will not study commercial science generally any more, which will be divided into commercial science, strategic service science and entrepreneurial science.
  Prediction Five
  Universal law may not appear in the near future, but the legal system in every country will be networked. As the data base of the national and local law, the global legal information network will be made up by 50 countries at the moment, which will have increased to move than 100 countries by 2010.
  Prediction Six
  Just like space competition in the last century, biological treatment and genetic improvement will appear in the 21st century.
  Prediction Seven
  The speed of the out-dating of human race’s professional knowledge will be almost as fast as the speed of gaining it. Most of the specialties need studying and training constantly. The rapid development of employed market and professional skills requires all of the staff receiving professional education again.
  Prediction Eight
  By 2030, the urbanization degree will reach 60%, which will lead to worsen the present environment and the problem of social economy. In addition, the infection will occur more commonly.
  Prediction Nine
  Middle East will be more secularized. The religious influence in China will expand.
  Prediction Ten
  Electricity will cover 83% of the area in the world. However, the rate of electrification in the poor Sub-Saharan Africa is still very low. It is only 3.7% in Uganda.
  
  2008年11/12月号的美国《未来学家》杂志刊登文章,展望人们对未来的70多项预测,现摘登其中十项以飨读者。
  预测一:到2030年,人类将被植入芯片,人人拥有独一无二的IP地址。由于纳米技术容量几乎无限,人们的对话和活动都将被记录在案,而且是可恢复的。
  预测二:随着获取技术变得更容易,新兴科学特别是地理经济学、纳米技术等微观科学,将为生物学铺平道路。细菌和病毒可能被改造,以增加其杀伤力或对付抗生素的能力。
  预测三:汽车作为公路之王的时代将结束。无线通讯的发展将减少人类对出行的需求,航空运输将逐渐取代卡车,限制私家车的政策及其他因素可能会剥夺汽车对于环境和文化的历史主宰地位。
  预测四:职业和大学专业将更加专门化。大学冷门专业的增加可能预示着新兴专业学科的发展,例如神经学与纳米技术、计算机与数字辩论学等。学生们也将不再笼统地学习商业学,而细分为可持续商业学、战略情报学和企业家学。
  预测五:在不久的将来也许还不会出现世界法,但各国法律体系将联网。作为国家和地方法律数据库,全球法律信息网络目前由50多个国家组成,到2010年将增加到100多个国家。
  预测六:像上个世纪的太空竞赛那样,21世纪将出现生物医疗与基因改良竞赛。
  预测七:专业知识过时的速度几乎和人类学习专业知识的速度一样快。大多数专业需要不停地学习与培训。就业巿场与职场技能的快速发展要求所有员工都重新接受职业教育。
  预测八:到2030年,城市化程度达到60%,会导致现有的环境和社会经济问题恶化,传染病也会变得更加常见。
  预测九:中东将更加世俗化,而宗教在中国的影响力会扩大。
  预测十:到2030年,全世界83%的地区将用上电。但撒哈拉以南非洲等贫困的地区电气化率仍然很低,乌干达的电气化率只有3.7%。 ☆
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