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基于1995-2012年的省级面板数据,从实证分析的角度建立了面板VAR模型,通过脉冲响应分析揭示了城镇化带动消费的四条路径。同时,方差分解结果进一步验证了各中间变量对消费贡献度的强弱。在此基础上,提出了相应的政策建议。
Based on the provincial panel data from 1995 to 2012, a panel VAR model is established from the perspective of empirical analysis. The impulse response analysis reveals the four paths that urbanization drives consumption. At the same time, the variance decomposition results further verify the strength of each intermediate variable contribution to consumption. On this basis, put forward the corresponding policy recommendations.