基于中国前三个季度的强势发展,预计中国2000年的GDP增长率将从7.5％升到8.1％。美国券商摩根斯坦利认为2000年中国的经济增长率是可信的,而且其出口的增长大大超过我们的预计。 经济转型的三大支柱 首先,必须保持严格的资本控制。摩根斯坦利认为只有在经济改革使资产收益率平均提升到一定高度时,才能开放资本项目。另外,腐败是资本流失的 Based on the strong development of China in the first three quarters, China’s GDP growth rate in 2000 is expected to rise from 7.5% to 8.1%. The US brokerage Morgan Stanley said China’s economic growth rate in 2000 was credible and that its export growth far exceeded our expectations. First, the three pillars of economic restructuring must maintain strict capital controls. Morgan Stanley argued that capital projects should be liberalized only if the economic reforms raise the rate of return on assets to a certain extent. In addition, corruption is a loss of capital