特朗普上任之后的政策选择将对全球经济带来更深远的影响。本文分析了特朗普经济政策的核心,认为其对内的经济政策在力度和效果方面存在较大的不确定性,而对外经济政策是迄今被普遍诟病的内容。对中国而言,或将导致中美贸易关系可能出现倒退。在关于2017年全球经济局势的预测中,不确定性似乎是市场共识中最大的确定性。 Policy choices after Trump took over will have far-reaching implications for the global economy. This article analyzes the core of Trump’s economic policy, believing that there is great uncertainty in the intensity and effect of its domestic economic policy, and foreign economic policy is the one widely criticized so far. For China, or will lead to Sino-US trade relations may be retrogressive. In the prediction of the global economic situation in 2017, uncertainty seems to be the greatest certainty in the market consensus.