论文部分内容阅读
随着全球越来越多的地区步入老龄化社会,关于人口老龄化与城市发展关系的研究日渐广泛.上海市作为中国人口密度最高且最早步入老龄化社会的城市,正面临严峻的人口老龄化问题.本文以上海市社区公园为例,基于中心城区和非中心城区的城市结构差异,利用手机信令数据获取老年人的时空行为,建立多元线性回归模型,分析了老年人访问社区公园的差异及其影响因素,包括人口密度、老年人自居住地到社区公园的出行距离、城市设施密度等.结果表明,居住地的人口密度及其老龄人口密度、出行距离是影响老年人访问社区公园的三个重要因素,且中心城区和非中心城区社区公园老年游客使用社区公园的影响机制存在差异.有必要针对不同区域的社区公园提出相应的规划设计准则,完善老年人友好型社区公园布局,以落实近年来大力推进的社区养老工作,推动健康公平.“,”As more and more regions step into the aging society all over the world, research on the relationship between population aging and urban development becomes more extensive. Shanghai, one of the densely-populated cities, is faced with severe population aging problems. Focusing on the disparities between the city's central and outer districts, this study evaluates elderly visitors' behaviors to community parks in Shanghai and related impact factors via mobile phone signaling data (conveying the spatiotemporal behavioral patterns of the elderly) and a multiple linear regression equation. The researched factors included popularity density, the traveling distance from the elderly's living places to community parks, urban facility density, etc. The results suggested that both the total and elder population density, and the traveling distance had significant impacts on the elderly's visiting behaviors. Moreover, the impact mechanism differ between the central and outer districts. Therefore, specific planning and design guidance for different districts should be proposed to optimize the community park layout so as to promote community support for the elderly care and health justice.