传统产业的衰退和新兴产业的强盛乃当今世界经济发展之一大景观。钢铁产业曾和纺织、橡胶、采掘等产业一起被绝大多数国内外学者视为衰退产业,这从西方发达国家和1998年前我国该产业的发展状况得到了见证。然而,近几年我国钢铁产业的产销量及产业利润率却戏剧般地火爆起来:不仅钢产量从1996年的1.01亿吨猛增至2003年的2.2亿吨,产业利润量也从1998年的9亿元骤升为2002年的204亿元。那么,为什么在发达国家钢铁产业持续 The recession of traditional industries and the prosperity of emerging industries are one of the major economic developments in the world today. The steel industry, together with the textile, rubber and mining industries, is regarded by most domestic and foreign scholars as a declining industry. This has been testified from the developed countries in western countries and the development of the industry in China before 1998. However, in recent years, the production, sales and industrial profit margins of China’s steel industry have been dramatically exploded: not only the steel output soared from 101 million tons in 1996 to 220 million tons in 2003, the industrial profits also dropped from 1998 900 million yuan soared to 20.4 billion yuan in 2002. So why is the steel industry in developed countries continued?