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一、由经济发展基本格局所决定的结构变化方向和阶段性从当前利益驱动机制和产业发展导向的实际作用来看,未来十七年我国经济的发展受两个基本趋势的拉动而仍可保持高速增长。一个趋势是结构协调趋势,即要逐步解决包括农业在内的基础产业和基础设施等瓶颈问题,以及农村剩余劳动力转移、第三产业发展滞后等问题。这些问题的解决,不但能够大大加强经济运行的协调性和稳定性,而且能够为一系列产业提供广阔的规模扩张空间,在规模扩张性投资的带动下使国民经济保持高速发展。另一个趋势是产业高级化趋势。伴随着收入水平提高而来的消费需求升级,改善对外贸易结构和国际分工地位
I. Direction and Phases of Structural Change Determined by Basic Economic Development Pattern Judging from the actual role of current interest-driven mechanism and industrial development orientation, the development of our economy in the next seventeen years will be sustained by two basic trends Growing rapidly. One trend is the trend of structural coordination, that is, we must gradually solve the bottleneck problems of basic industries and infrastructures, including agriculture, as well as the transfer of rural surplus labor force and the backward development of the tertiary industry. The solution of these problems not only greatly enhances the coordination and stability of the economic operation, but also provides ample space for scale expansion for a series of industries and enables the national economy to maintain its rapid development led by the expansion of scale investment. Another trend is the trend of industrialization. With the increase of income level, the upgrading of consumer demand, improving the structure of foreign trade and the status of international division of labor