论文部分内容阅读
在密集出台的刺激政策作用下,中国经济止跌回稳。今年上半年,GDP增长7.4%,工业增加值增长8.8%,二季度均比一季度稍快,且第三产业比重继续上升,预示结构有所改善。同时又形成一种“政策依赖症”。房地产调控和货币政策处于两难,存款准备金的窘境需要化解,任何政策和行为都有机会成本,管理当局仍需在短期和长期、保经济增长和促改革转型之间做出权衡和选择。从国内情况来看,二季度经济的微弱回稳,并未使管理层放心,下半年还会根据经济运行的具体情况出台一些刺激措施。总之,要全力保证7.5%增长目标的实现。
Under the intensive stimulus policy, the Chinese economy stabilized. In the first half of this year, GDP grew by 7.4% and industrial added value increased by 8.8%. Both were slightly faster than the first quarter and the proportion of the tertiary industry continued to rise, indicating an improvement in the structure. At the same time they form a “policy-dependent disease.” Real estate regulation and monetary policy in a dilemma, the deposit reserve need to resolve the dilemma of any policy and behavior have the opportunity costs, the management still need to short and long term, to ensure economic growth and promote trade reform and make a trade-off between the transition. Judging from the domestic situation, the slight stabilization of the economy in the second quarter did not relieve the management. In the second half of the year, some stimulus measures will be introduced according to the specific circumstances of economic operation. In short, we should fully guarantee the achievement of the 7.5% growth target.