业内人士都知道,油井在经历了最初的高产期后,其产量会大幅下跌。任何一个区块的油气井的开发过程都遵循这一规律。金·赫伯特于1956年预测,美国的原油总产量将在1969年前后一年间达到顶峰。而伊万霍将其推广到预测世界原油总产量,他认为:尽管中东地区拥有巨大的石油储量,但世界原油总产量的高峰仍将在2010年前出现。与上述问题直接相关的是油气衰竭问题。西蒙司公司正在研究该问题及其对石油天然气行业的影响,并发表了针对一些地区的研究结果。文献包括11月发表的“墨西哥湾分析报告:平衡供求关系中被遗忘的因素——衰竭”和一相关研究结果:“墨西哥湾自升式钻井平台市场的结论——衰竭”。该问题的研究难度非常大,但由于正好能得到关于外围大陆架的官 Insiders know that after the well has experienced its initial high yield, its production will drop dramatically. The development of oil and gas wells in any one block follows this rule. Kim Herbert predicted in 1956 that the total crude oil output in the United States will peak in 1969 and one year. And Ivanho will be extended to predict the world’s total crude oil production, he believes: despite the huge oil reserves in the Middle East, but the world’s crude oil production peak will occur before 2010. Directly related to the above problems is the problem of oil and gas failure. Simon company is studying the issue and its impact on the oil and gas industry, and published research results for some areas. The literature includes the November issue of the Gulf of Mexico Analysis: The Forgotten Factor in Balanced Supply-Demand Depletion-and a related study: The Gulf Coast Derrick Drilling Market Conclusion-Failure. The study of the problem is very difficult but due to the fact that officials on the peripheral continental shelf can be obtained