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21世纪初,和平与发展仍然是时代的两大主题和基本特征。世界各国要求和平与发展同美国继续推行全球霸权战略之间的矛盾将是主要矛盾。美国霸权主义将遭到要求和平与发展的世界各国日益强烈的反对和制约。目前正在加速发展的信息化、多极化、全球化三大浪潮,对推动人类社会在新世纪继续沿着和平与发展方向前进将起重要作用。以信息技术为代表的高科技革命浪潮,将决定一个国家未来的兴衰,也将逐步改变世界力量对比的失衡状况。美国最先抓住信息技术革命的机遇,致力于开发信息技术,发展信息产业,促使经济增长周期空前延长和军事实力空前增强,从而进一步加强了唯一超级大国地位。预计2001年,美国国内生产总值(GDP)将突破10万亿美元,2005年美国GDF将增至11万多亿美元,仍居世界各国之首。美国军费开支不断增加,2000年增至2888亿美元,已远远超过俄、英、法、德、日和中国6个国家军费的总和。到2005年,美国军费将
At the beginning of the 21st century, peace and development are still the two main themes and basic characteristics of the times. The contradictions between the countries in the world calling for peace and development and the continuation of the global hegemony strategy by the United States will be the major contradictions. U.S. hegemonism will be increasingly opposed and restrained by all countries in the world that demand peace and development. The tide of informationization, multi-polarization and globalization that are accelerating at present will play an important role in pushing forward the continuation of human society in the direction of peace and development in the new century. The wave of hi-tech revolution represented by information technology will determine the rise and fall of the future of a country and will gradually change the imbalance in the balance of power in the world. The United States, the first to seize the opportunity of the information technology revolution, is devoted to developing information technology, developing the information industry, promoting an unprecedented increase in economic growth cycle and unprecedented enhancement of military strength, thereby further strengthening its position as the sole superpower. It is estimated that by the year 2001, the U.S. gross domestic product will exceed 10 trillion U.S. dollars and that in 2005 the U.S. GDF will increase to 11 trillion U.S. dollars, still ranking first in the world. U.S. military expenditures have been rising steadily to 288.8 billion U.S. dollars in 2000, far exceeding the sum of the military expenditures of Russia, Britain, France, Germany, Japan and China. By 2005, U.S. military spending will be