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本文论述了黄河在全国经济发展中的战略地位和作用，在黄河可供水量分配方案的基础上，以１９９０年为现状，２０００年水平黄河地区工农业生产发展规划为依据，预测分析远景（２０３０年）黄河地区国民经济发展指标及对水资源的需求，并提出解决黄河地区远景缺水的对策和措施等。分析结果表明，远景黄河地区工农业及城乡生活需引水达１０６０×１０８ｍ３，需耗水８１０×１０８ｍ３，在考虑黄河可供水量及地下水充分利用的前提下，届时，黄河地区仍将缺水２５０×１０８ｍ３以上。解决黄河地区缺水的主要对策措施是实现跨流域调水。
This paper discusses the strategic position and role of the Yellow River in the national economic development. Based on the plan for the allocation of available water resources in the Yellow River, based on the status quo in 1990 and the plan for industrial and agricultural production in the Yellow River in 2000, the prediction and analysis prospect (2030 Year) indicators of the national economic development in the Yellow River region and the demand for water resources, and put forward measures and measures to solve the long-term water shortage in the Yellow River. The analysis results show that the agricultural, agricultural and urban and rural life in the long-range Yellow River should be 1060 × 108m3 and the water consumption is 810 × 108m3. Under the precondition that the Yellow River can supply water and make full use of groundwater, the Yellow River will still lack water 250 × 108m3 above. The main countermeasures to solve the water shortage in the Yellow River area are to realize the inter-basin water diversion.