近年来,在建材系统的一些文章和报告中,引用了人均法预测的数据。我认为,以这些数据来作发展生产的决策依据时要慎重。大家知道,用人均法预测某一产品的需求量时,往往是根据目标期的人均国民经济主要指标,去选择某一外国或某些国家的国民经济与此指标接近的相应的人均值,以及与这个值相对应年份某产品人均占有量,然后用这个人均占有量乘以我国 In recent years, some articles and reports in the building materials system have cited the data predicted by the per capita law. I think it is prudent to use these figures as a basis for making decisions on the development of production. As we all know, when using the per capita method to forecast the demand of a product, the national average per capita of the national economy of a certain foreign country or some countries is usually chosen according to the main indicator of per capita national economy in the target period. And this value corresponds to a product of the average amount of a product, and then multiplied by the per capita share of our country