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基于北方农牧交错带辽宁省西北地区的199份林农调查数据,运用二分类Logistic回归分析模型,从户主特征、家庭特征、林业经营特征、政策因素4个方面分析林业合作社林农参与意愿及参与行为的影响因素,并对差异进行分析。结果表明:影响林农参与意愿的显著因素主要有是否确权、种植年限、种植林种;影响林农参与行为的重要因素有是否确权、是否打工、种植林种、林业政策、林业收入占比;交叉分析显示有意愿参与林业合作社的林农中最终仅有32%的农户实现了参与行为;造成林农参与意愿及参与行为差异的主要原因是林农对林业合作社的认知缺乏、林农所在村庄没有林业合作社、林农对林业合作社需求有限。
Based on the survey data of 199 farmers in Northwest Liaoning and Liaoning Province, the dichotomous Logistic regression model was used to analyze the willingness and participation of forest farmers in forestry cooperatives from the aspects of household head, family, forestry management and policy The influencing factors, and analyze the differences. The results showed that significant factors influencing the willingness of forest farmers to participate mainly include the rights of confirming rights, planting years and planting forests; the important factors influencing the participation of forest farmers are right and wrong, whether they are working, planting forestry, forestry policies and the proportion of forestry income; Cross-sectional analysis showed that only 32% of the farmers who wish to participate in the forestry cooperative eventually achieved their participation. The main reason causing the farmers ’willingness to participate and their participation is the lack of forestry cooperatives’ understanding of forestry cooperatives and the absence of forest cooperatives , Foresters have limited demand for forestry cooperatives.