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分析合成橡胶的国内外市场供需、消费及进出口情况,应用“机会窗口”理论和指数平滑法预测出未来合成橡胶发展的市场闭合时间,并以近年大力发展特种合成橡胶的4家上市企业的资本运营情况为代表,分析我国合成橡胶发展投资的机会及风险。认为:现在是我国合成橡胶产业发展的成长期,市场总体需求旺盛,进入行业有利可图,但在投资项目及厂址选择上不可盲目介入。
Analyze the supply and demand, consumption, import and export of synthetic rubber in domestic and foreign markets, forecast the market closing time of the future development of synthetic rubber by using the “window of opportunity” theory and exponential smoothing method. In the recent years, we will vigorously develop 4 listed special synthetic rubber As the representative of the company’s capital operation, analyze the opportunities and risks of the development of synthetic rubber in China. It is believed that: Now it is the growth period of the development of synthetic rubber industry in our country. The overall market demand is strong and it is profitable to enter the industry. However, it is not allowed to blindly intervene in the selection of investment projects and sites.