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近年来,美国经济文献中出现了对今后10年暨到2011年以前国家经济发展的大量预测。预料在最近几年将为提高投资积极性创造良好环境。例如,1986年的税务改革即着眼于此。改革规定要降低个人所得税率和拉平社会生产各个部门中投资的经济条件。当局已拟定一系列措施促使流通中货币量的增长速度与实际国民生产总值的增长速度相接近。作为结果,预计在最近10年内贴现率将下降3——4个百分点;联邦预算赤字将从1986年国民生产总值的5%减少到1995
In recent years, the U.S. economic literature has seen a large number of forecasts of the country’s economic development in the coming 10 years and before 2011. It is expected in recent years that a favorable environment will be created to increase the enthusiasm for investment. For example, the tax reform of 1986 focused on this. The reform provisions should reduce the personal income tax rate and the economic conditions for smoothing investment in all sectors of social production. Authorities have drafted a series of measures to bring the growth rate of currency in circulation close to the growth rate of real gross domestic product. As a result, the discount rate is expected to decline by 3 to 4 percentage points over the last 10 years; the federal budget deficit will decrease from 5% of GNP in 1986 to 1995