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通过对政策评估模式发展的历史考察,文章分析了政策评估模式由单一向多元转变的逻辑以及多元评估模式的困境。并以南水北调移民政策评估为例,解读了当今多元理性下的政策评估仍然存在的多元利益界定不准确、评估模式结构固化等诸多问题。要从根本上解决多元理性下政策评估模式的问题,必须实现政策评估哲学思维的进一步转变,而这一转变应遵循批判性政策分析理论、利益相关者理论以及理性选择理论的基本价值。
Through the historical investigation of the development of the policy evaluation mode, the article analyzes the logic of the policy evaluation mode from single to multiple changes and the predicament of the multiple evaluation mode. Taking the evaluation of immigration policy of South-to-North Water Transfer as an example, this paper explains many issues such as inaccurate definition of multiple benefits and the solidification of evaluation model structure under the current multi-rationality policy assessment. To fundamentally solve the multi-rationality policy evaluation model, we must realize the further transformation of the philosophy of policy assessment, and this change should follow the basic values of critical policy analysis theory, stakeholder theory and rational choice theory.