当前,次贷危机恶化、金融危机蔓延、全球经济萧条、需求萎缩、投机资金撤离、失业率上升、加之美元前段持续走强,七方力量作用的结果,使得大宗商品价格深幅下跌。近期由于各国都在进行救市,需要大量资金,美国必然加印美钞,强势美元的假象,很快将会因为大量现钞的发行而终结强势趋势,转而向下,由于国际大宗商品价格基本都以美元计价,饲料原料类产品必将随之上涨。作为大宗商品,饲料原料如玉米、大豆价格变化更加复杂,价格走向将更加难以预测。我们已经不能再以简单的供求平衡关系来预测价格的涨跌。 At present, the deterioration of the subprime mortgage crisis, the spread of the financial crisis, the global economic recession, the shrinking demand, the withdrawal of speculative funds and the rise of the unemployment rate, together with the continued strength of the preceding U.S. dollar, have caused the price of commodities to plummet. Recently, all countries are in the process of rescuing the market and need large sums of money. The United States will inevitably print the illusion of U.S. dollar bills and strong U.S. dollars and will soon end the strong trend due to the issue of large amounts of cash. In turn, as the international commodity prices basically Are priced in dollars, feed raw materials will certainly rise. As commodities, feed ingredients such as corn and soybeans have more complicated price changes and the price trend will be even more unpredictable. We can no longer predict the ups and downs of prices with a simple balance of supply and demand.