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回顾2005年,美国经济呈快速发展的势头。然而,2006年的美国经济增长速度开始放缓。一些在2005年支撑经济发展的要素发生了变化。第二季度,美国国内私人投资增长明显放缓,私人消费支出现下滑迹象,劳动生产率增长速度开始放慢,房地产市场开始降温,同时面临通货膨胀上升的压力。然而,2006年的美国经济也存在一些亮点:就业状况良好;私人企业运行稳定;经常项目赤字有所减少,净出口从对GDP增长的拖累转变成经济增长的一个动力;财政收入增加,预算赤字减少。展望2007年,美国经济将延续2006年经济增长速度放缓的步伐,但还没有出现经济衰退的迹象。
Looking back on 2005, the U.S. economy showed a rapid development momentum. However, the U.S. economy started to slow in 2006. Some elements that underpin economic growth in 2005 have changed. In the second quarter, the private investment in the United States saw a marked slowdown in private investment growth. The private consumption expenditure showed signs of decline. Labor productivity growth began to slow down. The real estate market started to cool down while facing the pressure of rising inflation. However, there were some bright spots in the U.S. economy in 2006 as well: good employment conditions; stable private sector operations; reduced current account deficits, net exports from a drag on GDP growth to a driver of economic growth; increased fiscal revenue, a budget deficit cut back. Looking forward to 2007, the U.S. economy will continue the pace of economic slowdown in 2006, but no sign of economic recession yet.