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未来,是人们的希望和理想之所在。因此,了解未来,预测未来,迎接未来的挑战,是人类长久以来的向往和要求。从目前世界发展的动向来看,很有必要懂得点预测学知识。预测学是一门新兴学科,它萌于本世纪四十年代,到七十年代已在国际上得到广泛的实际应用,并取得了明显的效果。实际上,要制定一项计划、规划和决定发展目标,都要预测未来的社会需要,诸如资金、原料、设备、人力等情况。在过去缺乏计算手段的年代,对未来作预测,那仅是少数专家们的事情,而今随着
The future is where people's hopes and ideals lie. Therefore, understanding the future, predicting the future and meeting the challenges of the future are long-cherished aspirations and demands of mankind. From the current developments in the world point of view, it is necessary to understand the point of knowledge forecasting. Predictive science is a new discipline. It started in the 1940s and reached the international practice in the seventies. It has achieved remarkable results. In fact, to plan, plan and decide on development goals, we must predict the future social needs such as capital, raw materials, equipment and manpower. In the past, when there was a lack of computing means to predict the future, it was only a few experts, and now with