基于全国卷烟消费市场,以2002-2006年各月全国国内卷烟销量作为样本数据,利用确定性时间序列模型,对2007年全国卷烟销量进行月度、季度和年度预测。一、获取样本数据从国家烟草专卖局历年统计报表中,收集到2002-2006年各月国内卷烟销量数据,见表1-1。 Based on the national cigarette consumption market, taking the national sales of cigarettes in each country from 2002 to 2006 as the sample data, the monthly, monthly and annual forecasts of 2007 sales of cigarettes in China were made using the deterministic time series model. First, access to sample data From the previous years, the State Tobacco Monopoly Bureau statistics report collected from 2002-2006 domestic cigarette sales data, see Table 1-1.