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从目前已经出台的各项政策措施以及正在酝酿出台的政策改革方案来看,未来化解地方政府债务风险的重点是化解国有商业银行的风险。中国经济面临三大风险:房地产泡沫风险、影子银行风险、地方政府债务风险。这三大风险的最终指向是什么?即系统性金融风险,更具体地说,是国有商业银行风险。房地产泡沫一旦破裂,除了房地产企业贷款、信托、债券引发违
From the various policy measures that have been promulgated and the policy reform programs that are under preparation, the focus of defusing the debts of local governments in the future is to defuse the risks of state-owned commercial banks. China’s economy faces three major risks: the real estate bubble risk, the shadow banking risk and the local government debt risk. What is the ultimate orientation of these three risks? That is, systemic financial risk, more specifically, the risk of state-owned commercial banks. Once the real estate bubble burst, in addition to real estate loans, trusts, bonds triggered violations