为确保电网在安全稳定运行条件下尽可能多接纳风电,风电预报的重要性愈发突出。然而,国内风电预报仍面临预报准确率偏低、电网考核机制不完善等问题。在风电领域,风电预报并不是一个新鲜名词。风电预报是较为口语化的说法,更为专业化的表述方式是风电功率预测预报。所谓风电功率预测预报,就是风电场经营企业根据气象条件、统计规律等技术和手段,提前对单个风电场或风电场群未来一段时间的发电功率或出力情况进行分析预报,向电网调度机构提交预报结果,以提高风电场与电力系统协调运行的 In order to ensure that the grid can receive as much wind as possible under safe and stable operation conditions, the importance of wind power forecasting becomes more and more prominent. However, the forecast of domestic wind power is still confronted with the problems of low prediction accuracy and imperfect assessment mechanism of power grid. Wind power forecasting is not a new term in wind power. Wind power forecasting is more colloquial, and a more specialized way of expressing wind power forecasting is. The so-called wind power forecasting and forecasting means that the wind farm operators analyze and predict the power generation or output of a single wind farm or wind farms in the future according to the weather conditions and statistical laws and submit forecasts to the grid dispatching agency The result is to improve the coordinated operation of the wind farm with the power system