二战时,美国军方委托著名的心理学家桂尔福研发一套心理测验题,希望能用这套东西挑选出最优秀的人来担任飞行员。结果很惨,通过这套测试的飞行员,训练时的表现很亮眼,可是一上战场,所驾驶的飞机大多被击落,死亡率非常高。桂尔福在反思时发现那些战绩辉煌、身经百战打不死的飞行员,多半是从那些退役的“老鸟”中挑选出来的。他非常纳闷儿,为什么精密的心理测试,却比不上“老鸟”的直觉呢?其中的问题在哪儿呢? In World War II, the United States military commissioned the famous psychologist Guner Fu to develop a psychological test question, hoping to use this set of things to select the best person to serve as a pilot. The results were terrible. Pilots who passed this test were very bright at the time of training. However, on the battlefield, most of the piloted aircraft were shot down and the death rate was very high. In his reflection, Gunther found out that those pilots who had a brilliant record and survived wars were mostly selected from those retired “old birds”. He is very puzzled, why is the psychological test of precision less than the instinct of “old bird”? Where are the problems?