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自2006年以来,中国股市告别了盘踞多年的熊市,开始以单边上行之势稳步攀升,上证指数在短短17个月中从2006年1月4日的1163点一路冲到了2007年5月9目的4013点。当前对于广大投资者来说,中国股市是否存在泡沫,泡沫度有多大,无疑是关系到切身利益的问题。本文研究了上世纪90年代泡沫经济破灭前日本股市的诸多特征,测度了当前中国股市的泡沫度,并将两者结合对当前中国股市的泡沫问题进行了分析,提出了自己的建议。
Since 2006, the Chinese stock market has bid farewell to the bears that have been entrenched for many years and started to climb steadily upward with unilateral upward trend. The SSE Index rushed from 1163 on January 4, 2006 in just 17 months to May 2007 9 Purpose 4013 points. Currently for the majority of investors, the Chinese stock market whether there is a bubble, how much foam is undoubtedly related to the vital interests of the problem. This paper studies many characteristics of Japan’s stock market before the bubble economy burst in the 1990s, measures the current degree of stock market bubble in China, and combines the two to analyze the current bubble in China’s stock market and puts forward my own suggestions.