中信出版社2014年2月版前美联储主席格林斯潘在中国大陆出版的唯一专著,结合了经济预测的历史、行为经济学家的新发现以及作者辉煌职业生涯的成果,为我们提供了一个有实证支持的清晰图景,格林斯潘把危机的根源归结到人具有动物精神的本性——恐惧与狂热、从众行为、依赖倾向、竞争本性等等,并对如何创建一种缓冲手段免遭厄运的冲击、如何预测世界未来面对的重大挑战,进行了精彩阐述。 The only monograph published by former Federal Reserve chairman Greenspan in mainland China in February 2014, which combines the history of economic forecasting, the new findings of behavioral economists and the achievements of the author’s brilliant career, provides us with a With a clear picture of empirical support, Greenspan attributed the root causes of the crisis to the animal-animal nature of fear and fanaticism, herd behavior, her dependence on tendencies, her competitive nature and so on, and how to create a buffer against bad luck Shocks, how to predict the major challenges the world faces in the future.