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以铜头拱坝为例，应用确定性力学模型来分析大坝的位移监测资料，将优化反分析技术引入到大坝的运行监控中；并且提出了坝肩点安全度连通率的方法，对大坝的稳定安全性进行了预测。
Taking the copper head arch dam as an example, this paper applies the deterministic mechanical model to analyze the displacement monitoring data of the dam, and introduces the optimal back analysis technique into the dam operation monitoring. The method of connecting the safety of dam abutment points is proposed. The stability of the dam was predicted.