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中国封建王朝兴衰周期律问题自提出以来就一直是备受学术界关注的热点问题。关于王朝兴衰问题的研究可谓卷帙浩繁,然至今尚未有定论。文章从制度效率角度出发,利用新制度经济学相关理论对王朝兴衰问题进行了分析。通过理论和模型的分析,文章认为封闭的制度供给环境以及信息传递过程中的信息失真问题,使得制度供给者与制度需求者之间存在高度的信息不对称,从而导致封建王朝制度变迁难以发生,进而导致王朝制度逐渐僵化。与此同时,外部环境却在不断地发生着变化。随着外部环境逐渐变化,僵化的制度就与外部环境相脱离,使得封建王朝制度效率不断损耗,导致封建王朝由盛而衰,进而使中国古代社会表现出封建王朝的周期性兴衰现象。
The question of the periodic law of the rise and fall of the Chinese feudal dynasty has been a hot topic that has drawn much attention from academics since it was put forward. Research on the rise and fall of the dynasty can be described as voluminous and voluminous, but so far there is no conclusion. From the perspective of system efficiency, the article analyzes the rise and decline of dynasties by using the theory of new institutional economics. Through the analysis of the theory and the model, the article thinks that the closed system supply environment and the information distortion in the process of information transmission make the information asymmetry between the system supplier and the system demander, which makes it difficult for the system change of feudal dynasty, Which led to the dynastic system gradually rigid. At the same time, the external environment is constantly changing. As the external environment changes gradually, the rigid system is separated from the external environment, which leads to the continuous loss of the efficiency of the feudal dynasty system, resulting in decline of the feudal dynasties from prosperity and prosperity, thus making the ancient Chinese society show the cyclical rise and fall of the feudal dynasty.