在编制乌溪江流域洪水预报方案中提出了在蓄满产流的基础上考虑超蓄产流,并且建立简单的数学模型。本文就此问题提出探讨意见,供大家参考讨论。一、探讨蓄满产流模型的必要性蓄满产流的基本物理概念是:土壤含水量未达到田间持水量以前不产生迳流,而在土壤含水量达到田间持水量后则全部雨量产生迳流。在数学物理模型的处理中对充蓄能力未作任何限制。这就意味着充蓄是完全自由的,在一般可能发生的雨强情况下,土壤都可以得到充 In the preparation of the flood forecasting scheme of WuXi River Basin, it is proposed to consider super-rich production flow on the basis of full flow and to establish a simple mathematical model. This article put forward the opinions on this issue for your reference. I. The Necessity of Studying the Full-fledged Runoff Model The basic physical concept of full-fledging runoff is that before the soil water content does not reach the field capacity, no runoff occurs before it reaches full capacity, but when the soil water content reaches the field capacity, flow. There is no restriction on the ability of storage in the process of mathematical physics model. This means that recharge is completely free, and under normal conditions of rain, soil can be recharged