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笔者通过构造地理空间权重和经济空间权重矩阵,利用空间面板模型实证检验了1985年~2006年间中国省级财政分权、邻里竞争对财政支出偏向政策的影响,并将这种影响效应分解为直接效应和间接效应。研究发现,总体上,省级财政分权对地方政府基本建设支出比重无显著影响,而对社会发展性支出具有显著负向影响;相邻地区GDP增长率的提高,促使地方政府增加基本建设支出比重,而降低社会发展性支出比重。
By constructing geo-spatial weights and economic spatial weight matrix, the author empirically tests the impact of provincial fiscal decentralization and neighborhood competition on fiscal expenditure biased policy from 1985 to 2006 using spatial panel model, and decomposes this effect into direct Effect and indirect effect. The study found that, on the whole, the provincial fiscal decentralization had no significant effect on the proportion of local government’s capital construction expenditures, but had a significant negative impact on the social development expenditures; the increase of GDP growth rate in the neighboring regions prompted the local governments to increase their capital expenditures Proportion, while reducing the proportion of social development expenditures.