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我们可能正在向债务危机的深渊狂奔,虽然我们很清醒。一组数据证明我国未来的债务风险。地方政府的投资计划可以用疯狂形容,都在千亿元以上,有的地方投资计划甚至达到了万亿元的规模,是地方财政收入的数倍甚至几十倍不等。有媒体报道称,最近各地重大项目集中开工,今年6至7月,近24个地方城市启动超百亿的投资项目,初步估计总投资规模达到5000亿元。但计划易定融资难,截至8月2日,除湖北外,已有30个省(自治区、直辖市)公布了2012年上半年固定资产投资完成情况。其中,贵州增速最高,为58.1%,上海最低,为4.5%。值得注意的是,全国有26个省(区、市)投资增速高于全国平均水平。
We may be running into the abyss of a debt crisis, though we are awake. A set of data to prove China’s future debt risk. The investment plans of local governments can be described in terms of madness at more than one hundred billion yuan. In some places, the investment plan has even reached the scale of one trillion yuan, which is several times or even tens of times the local financial revenue. Some media reports said that major projects have been started recently. From June to July this year, nearly 24 local cities started over 10 billion investment projects, with a preliminary estimate of a total investment of 500 billion yuan. However, it is difficult to plan financing. As of August 2, 30 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government) announced the completion of the investment in fixed assets in the first half of 2012 except Hubei. Among them, the highest growth rate of Guizhou, 58.1%, the lowest in Shanghai, 4.5%. It is noteworthy that investment growth in 26 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) nationwide is above the national average.