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定量地研究文献发展的各种内在规律是情报学研究的重要内容,科技文献的动态发展具有一定的内在规律,就是文献相对于时间的增长和老化规律。本文的目的就是建立文献发展的动态模型,以期更好地分析文献的动态特性、描述文献的动态规律、预测文献的发展状态、实现科学管理。一、文献发展的动态特性文献增长的动态特性表现在新发行的科技出版物、新发表的科学论文以及科研成果在数量上的不断增加,人们一般通过文献量不断增加寻求其增长规律。D.普赖斯综合分析了大量科技文献的统计数据,得出了文
The quantitative study of the inherent laws of the development of literature is an important part of information science research. The dynamic development of science and technology literature has some inherent laws, which are the law of literature growth and aging with respect to time. The purpose of this paper is to establish a dynamic model of literature development in order to better analyze the dynamic characteristics of literature, to describe the dynamic laws of literature, to predict the development of literature and to achieve scientific management. I. Dynamic Characteristics of Literature Development The dynamic characteristics of literature growth are reflected in the increasing number of newly released scientific and technological publications, newly published scientific papers and scientific research achievements. People generally seek their growth laws through the increasing amount of documents. D. Price comprehensive analysis of a large number of scientific and technical literature statistics, came to the text