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本文运用1995~2008年我国省际面板数据,对我国人均GDP与人类发展指数(HDI)两类经济发展指标与包括废水、废气、废渣的3类污染指标之间的关系进行了检验,检验结果表明,3类污染物指标与2类收入指标大都呈现倒N形的关系,只有工业废水排放量与HDI呈现倒U形关系,以上表明我国各类污染物排放量随着经济的发展遵循较一致的路径,这告诫我们,不发达省份应当借鉴发达省份的环境治理经验,发挥后发优势,避免再走先污染后治理的老路。更为重要的是,已经越过倒N形第二个临界值的发达省份应极力避免经济发展与环境污染之间发生不利的重组现象,例如倒N型重组为W形。
Based on the panel data of China’s provinces from 1995 to 2008, this paper tests the relationship between two kinds of economic development indexes, including GDP per capita and HDI, and three kinds of pollution indexes including waste water, waste gas and waste residue. The test results The results show that the three types of pollutants and the two types of income indicators mostly inverted N-shaped relationship, only the discharge of industrial waste and HDI inverted U-shaped relationship, the above shows that all types of pollutant emissions in China follow the economic development of more consistent This warns us that underdeveloped provinces should learn from the experiences of environmental governance in developed provinces and give play to the advantage of backwardness and avoid taking the path of pollution control first. More importantly, the developed provinces that have crossed the second threshold of inverted N should try their best to avoid adverse restructuring between economic development and environmental pollution. For example, the inverted N-type restructuring is W-shaped.