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文章通过构建政府消费、居民消费、居民消费结构与经济增长的面板VAR模型,利用2002~2012年中国西部青海、云南、甘肃、贵州、新疆、宁夏和广西七个省区的面板数据,检验与分析了政府消费与居民消费、居民消费结构的互动关系。研究结果表明:一是居民消费结构与政府消费互为Granger因果,居民消费结构的升级推动了政府消费,但是政府消费的增长抑制了居民消费结构的升级;二是居民消费的增长伴随着消费结构的升级;三是政府消费对居民消费没有明显的挤入或挤出效应,但是政府消费的扩大抑制了经济增长。
By using panel VAR model of government consumption, household consumption, resident consumption structure and economic growth, this paper makes use of the panel data of seven provinces and autonomous regions in Qinghai, Yunnan, Gansu, Guizhou, Xinjiang, Ningxia and Guangxi in western China from 2002 to 2012, Analyzes the interaction between government consumption and resident consumption and resident consumption structure. The results show that the first is that the consumption structure of the residents and the consumption of the government are mutually Granger causality, and the upgrading of the consumption structure of the residents promotes the consumption of the government, but the growth of the consumption of the government inhibits the upgrading of the consumption structure of the residents. Second, the growth of household consumption is accompanied by the consumption structure Third, there is no obvious crowding-in or crowding-out effect of government consumption on household consumption, but the expansion of government consumption inhibits economic growth.