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一、全球经济 今年美国经济可谓一泻千里,比较能够真实反应美国工业活动的S＆P500指数从今年初的1360点左右下跌到900点之下,近期虽然有所反弹,但是否会反转呢?我们认为,前景堪忧,但亮点尚存。 1.制造业部门停滞不前。美国经济在3至6月期间仅增长了1.3％,低于今年前3个月5％的增幅。6月份以后,经济就几乎陷入停滞。 美国和欧洲的经理人采购指数的低迷数据使得金属市场阴云密布。美国ISM指数从1月份首次跌破50,欧元区的PMI指数2月首次跌破50以后有所恢复,但目前再次陷入颓势。美国供应管理
I. Global Economy As the U.S. economy plummeted this year, the S & P500 index, which can actually reflect the U.S. industrial activity, dropped from about 1,360 earlier this year to below 900. Despite the recent rebound, is there any reversal? In our opinion, Prospects worrying, but the bright spots still exist. 1. The manufacturing sector is stagnant. The U.S. economy grew only 1.3% in the March-June period, below the 5% increase in the first three months of this year. After June, the economy has almost stalled. The downturn in purchasing managers’ index for the United States and Europe made the metal market overcast. For the first time in the United States, the ISM index fell below 50 in January. The Eurozone PMI recovered after dropping below 50 for the first time in February, but it is now in a downward trend again. American Supply Management