在全球经济增长乏力,股市、汇市表现疲软,众多资产价格大幅下挫的情况下,近期农产品价格却逆势而动,走出了一波亮丽的上涨曲线,成为当前市场关注的焦点。从商品价格指数(CRB)(见图1)近期走势看,商品价格指数一反2012年以来的绵绵跌势,反弹强烈,由270附近上涨至目前的290水平。但受制于全球疲软的经济基本面,长期走势并不乐观。具体到农产品价格走势,今年以来,以玉米(见图2)和大豆(见 With the sluggish global economic growth, the weak performance of the stock market and foreign exchange market and the drastic drop in many asset prices, the prices of agricultural products have recently moved against the trend and have emerged as the focus of the current market. From the recent trend of the Commodity Price Index (CRB) (see Figure 1), the commodity price index has shown a downward trend since 2012, with a strong rebound, rising from around 270 to the current 290 level. However, due to the weak global economic fundamentals, the long-term trend is not optimistic. Specific to the agricultural price movements this year, with corn (see Figure 2) and soybeans (see