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本文为制定水库应用暴雨洪水预报的防洪运行规则的需要,建立了一个流域暴雨洪水随机模拟模型,以外延求特大的流域暴雨洪水事件。经在我国南方的一个实际流域上进行试验,取得了满意的效果。
In order to establish the requirement of flood control operation rules of storm flood forecast in reservoir, a stochastic simulation model of storm flood in watershed was established in this paper to extrapolate rainstorm and flood event of extra large watershed. After an experiment on an actual river basin in southern China, satisfactory results have been achieved.