10倍速全球竞争时代,公司成败往往以“季”为单位;而漫长的10年,则可能全盘翻转一个地区的经济面貌。 曾经,台湾以弹丸孤岛缔造了傲视全球的经济奇迹。勤俭敢拼的台湾人民,由农产品加工、轻工业、石化、家电,到今天发达的高科技资讯,几乎每10年就有一番新面貌。 然而,近两年全球经济衰退,台湾经济也初尝停滞徘徊的苦滋味。 10年后,全球经济会是什么样貌?台湾将在其中占据什么位置?目标确立后,资源是否足够?如何补强?关键10年已经展开,怎样才能立于不败。 “工商周转,免付利息”、“借钱不求人”……走在台北街头,许多人会被十字路口如幽灵般戴着口罩、高举招牌,一声不响穿梭的广告人吓一跳。这在今年才四处冒出的新行业,只是台湾经济衰退的一个小缩影。 2001年,是台湾近半世纪来经济上最愁云惨雾的一年;经济成长率破天荒出现1.9％的负成长,失业率冲破5％大关,第四季金融业总体逾放比则超过8％。帐面上唯一亮眼的,是创下10年来新高的150多亿美元出超,但巨幅出超源自进口不振,意味着厂商投资新机械设备的意愿低落,更令人对未来不敢乐观。 In the era of global competition at 10x speed, the success or failure of a company is often based on the “quarter.” A long 10-year period may turn the economy of a region into an overall picture. Once, Taiwan has created a global economic miracle with the projectile island. The people of Taiwan who are diligent and thrifty, from agricultural product processing, light industry, petrochemicals and home appliances, to today’s well-developed high-tech information have a new appearance in almost every 10 years. However, over the past two years, the global economy has been in recession and Taiwan’s economy has begun to experience the bitter taste of stagnation. 10 years later, the global economy will look like what? Taiwan will occupy the position? After the goal is established, the resources are enough? How to reinforce? The key 10 years has started, how can we stand on the undefeated. “Business revolving, interest-free” and “borrowing money do not ask for help.” ... Walking in the streets of Taipei, many people will be ghoulish at the crossroads wearing masks, holding up their signboards and screaming at the silent advertisers. This new industry, which emerged only this year, is merely a miniature of Taiwan’s economic downturn. 2001 was the most economically gloomy year in Taiwan in nearly half a century. The rate of economic growth was unprecedentedly negative at 1.9%. The jobless rate broke the 5% mark. In the fourth quarter, the financial sector as a whole exceeded by more than 8%. The only blessing on the books is the record high of more than 15 billion U.S. dollars in 10 years. However, the huge surplus comes from the slump in imports, which means that manufacturers are less willing to invest in new machinery and equipment, and even less optimistic about the future. .