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本文基于我国1978~2015年间的能源消费和GDP数据,分析了能源足迹与经济发展之间的关系。结果表明,我国人均能源足迹与人均GDP之间高度相关,主要呈现出弱脱钩的状态;两者存在长期的均衡关系,且是从经济发展到能源足迹的单向因果关系,即国内生产总值的增加可以直接导致能源足迹的扩大,但均衡误差对偏离长期均衡的调整作用较弱。
Based on China’s energy consumption and GDP data from 1978 to 2015, this paper analyzes the relationship between energy footprint and economic development. The results show that the per capita energy footprint of our country is highly correlated with GDP per capita and mainly shows a weak decoupling state. There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the two and one-way causal relationship between economic development and energy footprint, namely, gross domestic product Can directly lead to the expansion of energy footprint, but the effect of equilibrium error on adjustment away from long-term equilibrium is weaker.