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美国疾病控制和预防中心(CDC)近期公布了一个新的基于网页的互动式模型,可以预测被蚊媒介基孔肯亚病毒感染的旅行者将抵达的地点,以及哪些区域具有成为该病毒新的本地传播区域的较高风险。CDC的这一即时预报网站使用美国已有的基孔肯亚病例发生位置、航空公司航线模式以及气候信息等数据,每个月对其他地区引进基孔肯亚病的可能性进行预测。预测结果以一系列图表和世界地图的形式展示。据悉,该网站以CDC研发的数学模型为基础,该
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recently released a new web-based interactive model that predicts where travelers covered by mosquito-borne Conociac Avian Infections will be and where they have the potential to become new High risk of local transmission area. The CDC’s instant-messenger site uses data from the United States such as the location of the existing Chikungunya case, airlines route patterns, and climate information to predict the likelihood of introducing Chikungunya in other regions each month. Forecast results are presented as a series of charts and world maps. It is reported that the site to CDC R & D mathematical model based on the