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以理智的证券投资者的投资理念和实际经验为背景,利用模糊集理论和模糊概率的方法来模拟他们的股价分析过程和研究他们的投资策略.在股价波动的预测集上构造了一个模糊概率空间;然后,根据投资者的不同的投资偏好,利用模糊概率对股价波动的预测集进行了详尽的讨论和分析;由此获得了一些有关投资决策的关键技术指标和控制风险的策略.
Based on the investment concept and practical experience of rational securities investors, this paper uses fuzzy sets theory and fuzzy probability method to simulate their stock price analysis process and research their investment strategies.On the basis of forecasting set of stock price volatility, a fuzzy probability Space; Then, based on the different investment preferences of investors, the fuzzy probability is used to discuss and analyze the forecasting set of stock price volatility in detail; some key technical indicators about investment decision and risk control strategies are obtained.