通过对小麦赤霉病病情资料标准化处理,避免伪相关预报因子影响预报效果,充分利用病穗率资料信息,限制其误差对预报方程造成过大偏离。提高了原预报方程的稳健性。做到长、中、短期预报相结合,逐步修正。并使赤霉病预报、小麦齐穗期预报和天气预报相结合,综合分析,相互补充。 Through the standardization of the disease data of wheat scab, avoiding the influence of the false correlation forecasting factor to forecast effect, making full use of the information of the disease panicle rate information, limiting the error caused excessive deviation of the forecasting equation. Improve the robustness of the original forecasting equation. To achieve long, medium and short-term forecast combination, and gradually revised. And the forecast of scab, wheat heading stage forecast and the combination of weather forecast, comprehensive analysis, complement each other.