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针对超视距机群空战仿真的应用场合,建立了一种超视距机群空战的效能评估模型。该模型首先通过分析超视距空战的特点,在导弹攻击典型时间序列的基础上,对抢先发射导弹这一随机事件分三种情况进行了具体研究,得出计算飞机损失数的解析表达式。然后讨论了超视距空战中抢先情况的条件,提出了抢先概率的计算方法。最后着重对抢先发射、抢先发射区域的影响因素以及飞机机动性对空战结果的影响进行了分析。
Aiming at the application of over-the-horizon flight warfare air combat simulation, a model of air combat effectiveness evaluation of over-the-horizon fleet is established. Based on the typical time series of missile attack, this model firstly analyzes the characteristics of the over-the-horizon air-to-air combat and studies the stochastic event of the first launching missile in three cases. The analytical expression for calculating the number of aircraft losses is obtained. Then it discusses the conditions of preemption in over-the-horizon air combat and puts forward the calculating method of preemptive probability. Lastly, it analyzes the influence factors of preemptive launch and preemptive launch area and the impact of aircraft maneuverability on air combat outcome.