2012年是全球大选年,20多个国家的领导层发生了变化,这将对世界政治经济发展带来深远影响。同时,全球经济仍未走出金融危机的阴霾,世界范围内产能和流动性过剩,经济下行风险犹存,经济格局仍将经历重大调整。鉴此,2013年将是一个非常重要的年份。《博鳌观察》联手罗纳德·科斯、埃德蒙·菲尔普斯、张维迎、余永定、陈志武 2012 is a year of global election. Changes have taken place in the leadership of more than 20 countries, which will have a far-reaching impact on the world’s political and economic development. At the same time, the global economy has not yet out of the shadow of the financial crisis. With excess production capacity and liquidity around the world, the risk of an economic downturn persists and the economic structure will still undergo major adjustments. In view of this, 2013 will be a very important year. “Boao Observatory” together Ronald Coase, Edmund Phelps, Zhang Weiying, Yu Yongding, Chen Zhiwu